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THIS WEBSITE IS AIMED AT PROFESSIONAL INVESTORS IN THE NETHERLANDS

This website is published by Lyxor International Asset Management (LIAM), a French asset management company approved by the Autorité des Marchés Financiers (the French Financial Markets Authority) (AMF) (17 place de la Bourse 75082 Paris Cedex 02) under the UCITS (2009/65/EC) and AIFM (2011/31/EU) directives. LIAM is registered in the Netherlands in the public register of the Netherlands Authority for the Financial Markets (Autoriteit Financiële Markten) as a manager (beheerder) of a UCITS.

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A professional investor is a professional investor (professionele belegger) within the meaning of the Act on the Financial Supervision (Wet op het financieel toezicht) (AFS).

A professional investor within the meaning of the AFS is one of the following:

  • a bank
  • a collective investment scheme (UCITS or AIF) and a management company of such scheme
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  • a market maker
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  • large undertakings meeting two of the following size requirements on a company basis (a) balance sheet total of EUR 20,000,000, (b) net turnover of EUR 40,000,000 and (c) own funds of € 2,000,000

 

Please note that the above summary is provided for information purposes only. If you are uncertain as to whether you can be classified as a professional investor within the meaning of the AFS then you should seek independent advice.

 

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Lyxor UCITS compliant Exchange Traded Funds (Lyxor UCITS ETFs) referred to on this website are open ended mutual investment funds (i) established under the French law and approved by the Autorité des Marchés Financiers (the French Financial Markets Authority), or (ii) established under the Luxembourg law and approved by the Commission de Surveillance du Secteur Financier (the Luxembourg Financial Supervisory Committee). Most, if not all, of the protections provided by the Dutch regulatory system generally and for funds authorised in the Netherlands do not apply to these exchange traded funds (ETFs). In particular, investors should note that holdings in this product will not be covered by the provisions of the UK Financial Services Compensation Scheme, the Dutch Investor Compensation Scheme (beleggerscompensatiestelsel) or by any similar scheme.

 

This website is exclusively intended for persons who are not "US persons", as such term is defined in Regulation S or the US Securities Act 1933, as amended, and who are not physically present in the US. This website does not constitute an offer or an invitation to purchase any securities in the United States or in any other jurisdiction in which such offer or invitation is not authorised or to any person to whom it is unlawful to make such offer or solicitation. Potential users of this website are requested to inform themselves about and to observe any such restrictions.

 

Index Replication Process

 

Lyxor UCITS ETFs follow both physical and synthetic index replication process.

 

However, most Lyxor UCITS ETFs follow synthetic replication process. This consists of entering into a derivative transaction (a ‘Performance Swap’, as defined below) with a counterparty that provides complete and effective exposure to its benchmark index. Lyxor has adopted this methodology in order to minimise tracking error, optimise transaction costs and reduce operational risks.

 

A Performance Swap is a contractual agreement which is negotiated over-the-counter (OTC) between two parties: the Lyxor UCITS ETF and its counterparty. From a risk perspective, each Performance Swap ranks equally with other senior unsecured obligations of the counterparty, such as common bonds (i.e., same rights to payments). In the Performance Swap, the counterparty of the Lyxor UCITS ETF commits to pay the Lyxor UCITS ETF a variable return based on a pre-determined benchmark index, instead of a fixed stream of income (as in bonds). At the same time, the counterparty will receive from the Lyxor UCITS ETF the performance and any related revenues generated by the basket's assets (excluding the value of the Performance Swap) held by the Lyxor UCITS ETF. Information provided on individual ETFs includes data on the basket relating to the ETF and the percentage value of the basket represented by each asset. The information is relevant to the closing values on the date given. 

 

Investment Risks

 

The Lyxor UCITS ETFs described on this website are not suitable for everyone. Investors' capital is at risk. Investors should not deal in this product unless they understand, having obtained independent professional advice where necessary, its nature, terms and conditions, and the extent of their exposure to risk. The value of the product can go down as well as up and can be subject to volatility due to factors such as price changes in the underlying instrument and interest rates. If a fund is quoted in a different currency to the index, currency risks exist.

 

Prior to any investment in any Lyxor UCITS ETF, you should make your own appraisal of the risks from a financial, legal and tax perspective, without relying exclusively on the information provided by us. We recommend that you consult your own independent professional advisors (including legal, tax, financial or accounting advisors, as appropriate).

 

Specific Risks

 

·         Capital at Risk. ETFs are tracking instruments: Their risk profile is similar to a direct investment in the Benchmark Index. Investors’ capital is fully at risk and investors may not get back the amount originally invested. Investments are not covered by the provisions of the UK Financial Services Compensation Scheme, the Dutch Investor Compensation Scheme (beleggerscompensatiestelsel) or by any similar scheme.

·         Counterparty Risk. Investors may be exposed to risks resulting from the use of an OTC Swap with Societe Generale. Physical ETFs may have Counterparty Risk resulting from the use of a Securities Lending Programme.

·         Currency Risk. ETFs may be exposed to currency risk if the ETF or Benchmark Index holdings are denominated in a currency different to that of the Benchmark Index they are tracking. This means that exchange rate fluctuations could have a negative or positive effect on returns.

·         Replication Risk. ETFs are designed to replicate the performance of the Benchmark Index. Unexpected events relating to the constituents of the Benchmark Index may impact the Index provider’s ability to calculate the Benchmark Index, which may affect the ETF’s ability to replicate the Benchmark Index efficiently. This may create Tracking Error in the ETF.

·         Underlying Risk. The Benchmark Index of a Lyxor ETF may be complex and volatile. When investing in commodities, the Benchmark Index is calculated with reference to commodity futures contracts which can expose investors to risks related to the cost of carry and transportation. ETFs exposed to Emerging Markets carry a greater risk of potential loss than investment in Developed Markets as they are exposed to a wide range of unpredictable Emerging Market risks.

·         Liquidity Risk. On-exchange liquidity may be limited as a result of a suspension in the underlying market represented by the Benchmark Index tracked by the ETF; a failure in the systems of one of the relevant stock exchanges, Societe Generale or other Market Maker systems; or an abnormal trading situation or event. 

The securities can be neither offered in nor transferred to the United States.

 

Tax

 

Any statement in relation to tax, where made, is generic and non-exhaustive and is based on our understanding of the laws and practice in force as of the date of this document and is subject to any changes in law and practice and the interpretation and application thereof, which changes could be made with retroactive effect. Any such statement must not be construed as tax advice and must not be relied upon. The tax treatment of investments will, inter alia, depend on an individual’s circumstances. Investors must consult with an appropriate professional tax adviser to ascertain for themselves the taxation consequences of acquiring, holding and/or disposing of any investments mentioned on this website. 

Further information on the risk factors are available in the [Risk Warning – link to risk page] section of the website.

 

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17 Nov 2017

1 down, 3 to go: Trump’s first 365 days 


7 November marked a year to the day that Donald Trump was handed the keys to the kingdom on the US. It’s safe to say it’s been a whirlwind ride since then. The equity markets however have enjoyed some much plainer sailing, but what lies ahead?

Break on through

Not for the first time this year, the S&P 500 has breached its all-time high – a fact that’s easy to overlook given the negative headlines that have plagued the US’s divisive Commander-in-Chief. Yet investors still seem content to price in many of his promises (tax cut, cash repatriation, deregulation, investment plan) and have benefited from a “Goldilocks” scenario: fairly strong growth with low bond yields and a weak dollar.  

Promises vs. prices

Clearly, fundamentals remain impressive and some risks have passed – for now at least it looks less likely the Trump presidency will fail despite all the wailing and gnashing of teeth. The debt ceiling has been raised, at least until 8 December, and tax reform finally appears to be under way. 

Promises vs. prices

Tax cut fight

There will, undoubtedly, be some opposition to overcome – notably from small businesses – so changes are likely, but the GOP should still be able to pass a bill by the end of the year. This will be a huge relief to those investors who’ve been betting on deep tax cuts and driving the S&P 500 ever higher.

It will also be a huge relief to the President, whose policymaking apprenticeship has been troubled to say the least. After the healthcare debacle, he is in desperate need of a major legislative victory to conclude his first year in office. So far, the much-promised fiscal push has, rather ironically, met a bureaucratic brick wall.  

Jerome joins Janet’s dots

We do have the name of the new Fed Chair – the centrist, down-to-earth Jerome Powell will take office in February, once Janet Yellen’s term comes to an end. Whilst not the most ardent proponent of de-regulation on the shortlist, Powell has stated his desire to lighten the regulatory load, especially on smaller banks. 

He’s also likely to tread the familiar, gradual path of normalisation laid down by his predecessor. At least, that’s what the market – which received his nomination warmly - is hoping for. Continuity is king on Wall Street. Any deviation from that path could expose the true scale of the equity market’s vulnerability to Fed balance sheet reduction.

Still, decent growth and little in the way of wage pressure is translating into solid margins, which in turn fuels firmer earnings per share growth as has been amply demonstrated by the results of the current earnings season to date. Positive surprises have been plentiful. In truth then, it‘s all suggestive of a very conducive environment for equities. And many investors do seem to believe the run will continue, at least for another 12-18 months until the economy starts slowing, because they can’t see any more catalysts for change. 

No more than neutral

Yet the S&P 500 is up by 20%+ over the last 12 months (at time of writing), which looks stretched to us.  We’re neutral overall on US equities and feel the need to be more selective than the headline figures suggest. Details on tax reform are sketchy, but the odds of an accord seem to have increased. Looming mid-terms add to the pressure for the Republicans. Sector calls are difficult at this stage, but we do expect domestic-focused areas to benefit most. We still favour large-caps over their smaller peers as well. We’re bullish on banks over the long term, given the prospects for de-regulation, but low inflation could prove a headwind for a while yet.

Risk Warning 

For professional clients and qualified investors only.  All data; Lyxor Cross Asset Research Team, 9 November 2017.Past performance is of course no guide to future returns. It is important for potential investors to evaluate the risks described below and in the fund prospectus which can be found on www.lyxoretf.com 

CAPITAL AT RISK: ETFs are tracking instruments: Their risk profile is similar to a direct investment in the Underlying Index. Investors’ capital is fully at risk and investors may not get back the amount originally invested.

REPLICATION RISK: The fund objectives might not be reached due to unexpected events on the underlying markets which will impact the index calculation and the efficient fund replication.

COUNTERPARTY RISK: Investors are exposed to risks resulting from the use of an OTC Swap with Societe Generale. In-line with UCITS guidelines, the exposure to Societe Generale cannot exceed 10% of the total fund assets. Physically replicated ETFs may have counterparty risk resulting from the use of a Securities Lending Programme.                                                                                                                                   

UNDERLYING RISK: The Underlying Index of a Lyxor ETF may be complex and volatile. When investing in commodities, the Underlying Index is calculated with reference to commodity futures contracts exposing the investor to a liquidity risk linked to costs such as cost of carry and transportation. ETFs exposed to Emerging Markets carry a greater risk of potential loss than investment in Developed Markets as they are exposed to a wide range of unpredictable Emerging Market risks.

CURRENCY RISK: ETFs may be exposed to currency risk if the ETF is denominated in a currency different to that of the Underlying Index they are tracking. This means that exchange rate fluctuations could have a negative or positive effect on returns.                                                         

LIQUIDITY RISK: Liquidity is provided by registered market-makers on the respective stock exchange where the ETF is listed, including Societe Generale. On exchange liquidity may be limited as a result of a suspension in the underlying market represented by the Underlying Index tracked by the ETF; a failure in the systems of one of the relevant stock exchanges, Societe Generale or other market-maker systems; or an abnormal trading situation or event.This document is for the exclusive use of investors acting on their own account and categorized either as “eligible counterparties” or “professional clients” within the meaning of Markets in Financial Instruments Directive 2004/39/EC. It is not directed at retail clients. In Switzerland, it is directed exclusively at qualified investors.

Research Disclaimer

Lyxor International Asset Management (“LIAM”) or its employees may have or maintain business relationships with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that LIAM and its employees may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision.

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